I have been closely watching the development of the Z system for a year now, considering what I am going to do regarding the evolution of my system, which coupled with a D850, includes:
NIKKOR 15mm f/3.5 AIS
NIKKOR 20mm f/2.8 AIS
AF-S NIKKOR 20mm f/1.8G ED
NIKKOR 24mm f/2.8 AIS
PC-E NIKKOR 24mm f/3.5D ED
NIKKOR 28mm f/2.8 AIS
AF-S NIKKOR 28mm f/1.4E
Voigtlander 40mm f/2.0 Ultron SL II
NIKKOR 50mm f/1.2 AIS
AF-S NIKKOR 50mm f/1.4G
AF-S NIKKOR 58mm f/1.4G
AF Micro-Nikkor 60mm f/2.8
AF-S NIKKOR 85mm f/1.4G
NIKKOR 100mm f/2.8 Series E
AF-S NIKKOR 105mm f/1.4E
AF DC-NIKKOR 135mm f/2D
AF Micro-Nikkor 200mm f/4D IF-ED
AF-S NIKKOR 400mm f/2.8E
AF-S Fisheye Nikkor 8-15mm 1:3.5-4.5E ED
AF-S NIKKOR 14-24mm f/2.8G ED
AF-S NIKKOR 24-70mm f/2.8E ED VR
AF-S NIKKOR 70-200mm f/2.8E FL ED VR
My need of shooting is as follows:
Great AF. Image quality just needs to be good enough. Most sports and action shooting that I do is in this category and I shoot about 20k images per year.
AF merely needs to be decent but in most cases, is not strictly necessary. Most of my “artistic”, work, I choke when I say “I” and “artist in the same breath, is in this category and is about 50k plus images per year. This is roughly broken down into:
Cityscape, seascape and landscape work – 1.8 is fast enough. Small and light is appreciated.
Architecture and some landscape work. 1.8 is fast enough. Perspective control at least as good as the 19mm will be appreciated.
Portraiture – my current portrait set is my 28 1.4E, 58 1.4G, 105 1.4E, 200 2.0E (oops, not released yet, but I will buy it when it is released) and my 400 2.8E).
See the following for examples of my work:https://www.flickr.com/photos/westendfoto/albums
I am going to fulfill requirement #1 with my three zooms (14-200 in 2.8), my current D850 and the soon to be launched D6. It will be supplemented with my 1.4 primes on a case by case basis. I expect that given my volume, the already excellent AF in both cameras (I am assuming that the D6 AF will equal the spectacular D850 AF but may be much better.) and the image quality of the holy trinity in my collection, this kit will serve me well for at least 10 more years.
I am going to fulfill 2A with all of the 1.8 primes and I will buy any that Nikon introduces.
I am going to fulfill 2B with all of the 1.8 primes, but if Nikon launches S line perspective control lenses, I will buy these.
How I am going to fulfill 2C depends on whether the Noct is a one off. If it is part of a system, I will buy any Noct that Nikon launches. If it is a one off, I will settle for the 1.2 primes. Given my current portrait set above, I will be in no hurry to do this.
So I predict that my next purchases will be:
1. Nikon D6
2. The newly announced 120-300 2.8E looks like it could be useful for #1.
3. When Nikon launches a 60 plus mp Z camera (Z8 say) with the same or better ergonomics as my D850 w/grip, I will buy that camera plus all three of the Z 50s – 50 1.8S, 50 1.2S and 58 0.95S. I will be very curious to dissect the relative performance of these lenses.
4.Then the rest of the 1.8 line of primes.
5. I may consider the Z7 given its small size, but this will be in addition to “Z8”, not instead of it.
6. At a slower pace, the 1.2 primes as they are launched. I will have plenty of life left in my current f-mount lenses and I may never buy a Z version of my 400 2.8 or my 200 2.0 assuming Nikon launches the F-mount version first.
How about everyone else. What is your TFFTZ?